Sun, May 3 2026 • 12:00 •
Cepheus Park
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.67)
0.93 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.4% | 26.8% | 24.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Vejle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Randers FC | 0 | 9.4% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Randers FC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 79 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Randers FC -29.7, Vejle -25.2.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Randers FC
vs
Vejle
Elo gapRanders FC +79
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo2928.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2928.6
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Randers FC | Vejle |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1486.2 | 1442.4 |
| Form Elo | 1473.5 | 1425.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1470.9 | 1475.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1502.4 | 1519.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1493.5 | 1412.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -29.7 | -25.2 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Randers FC last-5 Elo change: -29.7; Vejle last-5 Elo change: -25.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Randers FC | Vejle |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 13% |
| Attack | 56% | 56% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Randers FC | Vejle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 29% | 27% | 28% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Draws | 21% | 27% | 24% | 27% | 36% | 31% |
| Loses | 50% | 47% | 48% | 53% | 64% | 59% |
Randers FCDWWLLLLWWLWLDLLDDLDWLWWLDLLDL
VejleDLWLLLLDDDLLLLWLLWLLDLDDDDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Randers FC | Vejle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 20 | 13 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 21 | 19 | 40 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Randers FC | Vejle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 69% | 76% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 45% | 28% | 66% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 17% | 7% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Randers FC | Vejle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Randers FC | Vejle |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Randers FC | Vejle |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-1 | 1-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Randers FC | Vejle |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 61.3% | 38.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.70 @ 10Bet
Draw4.00 @ Pinnacle
Away5.20 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.82 @ Betano
Under 2.52.15 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.78 @ Betano
No2.10 @ Unibet
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League standings
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