Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 16:00 •
Right to Dream Park
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.67)
1.52 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.5% | 24.5% | 39.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Aarhus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Nordsjaelland | 0 | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Nordsjaelland | Aarhus |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 40% |
| Attack | 53% | 33% |
| Defense | 80% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Nordsjaelland | Aarhus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 64% | 38% | 52% | 62% | 57% | 59% |
| Draws | 7% | 8% | 7% | 23% | 36% | 30% |
| Loses | 29% | 54% | 41% | 15% | 7% | 11% |
FC NordsjaellandWLLLLWWWLLWWLLLWLWWWDLWWWDW
AarhusDLDWWWWWWWWDWDLWWWWDWWDDWDL
League goals
| Metric | FC Nordsjaelland | Aarhus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 17 | 45 | 23 | 28 | 51 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 16 | 26 | 42 | 11 | 17 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Nordsjaelland | Aarhus | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 70% | 93% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 41% | 56% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 26% | 22% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 11% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 4% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Nordsjaelland | Aarhus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Nordsjaelland | Aarhus |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Nordsjaelland | Aarhus |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 5-2 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 6-0 | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Nordsjaelland | Aarhus |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.05 @ Unibet
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away2.27 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.70 @ Betfair
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League standings
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