Pontalinense U20 vs Royal U20

Goiano U20 — Brazil

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 18:30 • Venue TBA

Not Started

home	draw	away
5.3%	52.4%	42.3%

		Royal U20
Pontalinense U20	0	49.4%	30.0%	9.1%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
1	4.9%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
2	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Away lean

Royal U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 45 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Pontalinense U20 -53.1, Royal U20 +27.3.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone

Pontalinense U20 Elo 1422.5 · -53.1

Royal U20 Elo 1502.4 · +27.3

Elo gapRoyal U20 +45

Home / draw / away33% / 25% / 42%

Expected home share44%

Combined Elo2924.9

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Away lean

Confidence band Lean confidence

Upset risk Medium-high

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2924.9

Elo home share 44%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Pontalinense U20	Royal U20
Overall Elo	1422.5	1502.4
Form Elo	1374.3	1525.5
Home / Away Elo	1467.2	1499.7
Attack Elo	1455.7	1460.2
Defense Elo	1424.7	1519
Last 5 Elo change	-53.1	+27.3

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Pontalinense U20 last-5 Elo change: -53.1; Royal U20 last-5 Elo change: +27.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Pontalinense U20	Royal U20
Played	5	5
Form	0%	67%
Attack	10%	70%
Defense	0%	40%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	1 \| 0.2	7 \| 1.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	11 \| 2.2	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%

FT probability

2.5+

45%

FT probability

3.5+

32%

FT probability

BTTS

58%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Pontalinense U20			Royal U20
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	4	3	7	4	3	7
Wins	0%	0%	0%	75%	33%	57%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	0%	33%	14%
Loses	100%	100%	100%	25%	33%	29%

Pontalinense U20LLLLLLL

Royal U20WLLDWWW

League goals

Metric	Pontalinense U20			Royal U20
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	2	2	4	7	1	8
GF avg	0.5	0.7	0.6	1.8	0.3	1.1
GA total	10	8	18	6	1	7
GA avg	2.5	2.7	2.6	1.5	0.3	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Pontalinense U20		Royal U20
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	43%	100%	71%	57%
1.5	14%	86%	29%	14%
2.5	0%	43%	14%	14%
3.5	0%	14%	0%	14%
4.5	0%	14%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Pontalinense U20			Royal U20
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	0	0	1	2	3
Failed to score	2	2	4	0	2	2

Penalties

Metric	Pontalinense U20	Royal U20
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Pontalinense U20	Royal U20
Wins	0	1
Draws	0	1
Losses	7	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	—	3-1	0-1
Biggest losses	0-3	5-2	1-4	1-0
Goals For	1	2	3	1
Goals Against	3	5	4	1

Model comparison

Metric	Pontalinense U20	Royal U20
Form	0%	100%
Att	13%	88%
Def	35%	65%
Poisson Distribution	14%	86%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	20.7%	79.7%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Pontalinense U20 vs Royal U20

Metric	Pontalinense U20	Royal U20
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Pontalinense U20 vs Royal U20