Goiano U20 — Brazil
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Trindade U20

—

Vila Nova U20

Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.52) 0.32 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.0% 39.9% 13.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.0%
1 - 0
26.5%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Vila Nova U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trindade U20 0 31.2% 9.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.5% 8.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.2% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Trindade U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 18 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Trindade U20 +65.4, Vila Nova U20 +28.4.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Trindade U20 Elo 1555.5 · +65.4
vs
Vila Nova U20 Elo 1572.5 · +28.4
Elo gapTrindade U20 +18
Home / draw / away38% / 28% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo3128
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3128
Elo home share 53%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Trindade U20 Vila Nova U20
Overall Elo1555.51572.5
Form Elo1612.31589.2
Home / Away Elo1496.31532.8
Attack Elo1548.91591.7
Defense Elo1568.71555.7
Last 5 Elo change+65.4+28.4

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Trindade U20 last-5 Elo change: +65.4; Vila Nova U20 last-5 Elo change: +28.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrindade U20Vila Nova U20
Played55
Form100%80%
Attack100%70%
Defense80%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trindade U20 Vila Nova U20
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%100%100%75%33%57%
Draws0%0%0%25%33%29%
Loses0%0%0%0%33%14%
Trindade U20WWWWWWW
Vila Nova U20DDWWWWL

League goals

Metric Trindade U20 Vila Nova U20
HATHAT
GF total41115448
GF avg1.32.82.11.01.31.1
GA total123134
GA avg0.30.50.40.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrindade U20Vila Nova U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%43%86%43%
1.571%0%29%14%
2.529%0%0%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrindade U20Vila Nova U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricTrindade U20Vila Nova U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTrindade U20Vila Nova U20
Wins74
Draws02
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-42-10-2
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For2422
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricTrindade U20Vila Nova U20
Form56%44%
Att59%41%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total49.8%50.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Trindade U20 vs Vila Nova U20