Goiano U20 — Brazil
Sat, May 2 2026 • 12:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.53) 3.29 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.9% 12.8% 64.6%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.9%
1 - 2
7.2%
1 - 4
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Anapolis U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aparecidense U20 0 1.0% 3.4% 5.6% 6.2% 5.1% 3.3%
1 1.3% 4.4% 7.2% 7.9% 6.5% 4.3%
2 0.9% 2.8% 4.6% 5.0% 4.1% 2.7%
3 0.4% 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.2%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Aparecidense U20 -53.8, Anapolis U20 -24.7.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Aparecidense U20 Elo 1440.4 · -53.8
vs
Anapolis U20 Elo 1490.2 · -24.7
Elo gapAnapolis U20 +15
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo2930.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2930.6
Elo home share 48%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Aparecidense U20 Anapolis U20
Overall Elo1440.41490.2
Form Elo1406.81479.7
Home / Away Elo1484.51494.2
Attack Elo1450.11490.8
Defense Elo1436.71466.6
Last 5 Elo change-53.8-24.7

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Aparecidense U20 last-5 Elo change: -53.8; Anapolis U20 last-5 Elo change: -24.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAparecidense U20Anapolis U20
Played55
Form0%27%
Attack7%20%
Defense13%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aparecidense U20 Anapolis U20
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins33%20%25%50%25%38%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%13%
Loses67%80%75%25%75%50%
Aparecidense U20WWLLLLLL
Anapolis U20WLWDLLWL

League goals

Metric Aparecidense U20 Anapolis U20
HATHAT
GF total2354610
GF avg0.70.60.61.01.51.3
GA total8101821113
GA avg2.72.02.30.52.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAparecidense U20Anapolis U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%88%75%63%
1.513%63%25%38%
2.50%50%25%13%
3.50%25%0%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAparecidense U20Anapolis U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score134202

Penalties

MetricAparecidense U20Anapolis U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAparecidense U20Anapolis U20
Wins21
Draws01
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-23-10-3
Biggest losses0-43-00-17-1
Goals For1233
Goals Against4317

Model comparison

MetricAparecidense U20Anapolis U20
Form0%100%
Att25%75%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total31.7%68.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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