Goiano U20
— Brazil
Sat, May 2 2026 • 12:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.53)
3.29 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.9% | 12.8% | 64.6% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.9%
1 - 2
7.2%
1 - 4
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Anapolis U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aparecidense U20 | 0 | 1.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Aparecidense U20 -53.8, Anapolis U20 -24.7.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Aparecidense U20
vs
Anapolis U20
Elo gapAnapolis U20 +15
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo2930.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2930.6
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Aparecidense U20 | Anapolis U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1440.4 | 1490.2 |
| Form Elo | 1406.8 | 1479.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1484.5 | 1494.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1450.1 | 1490.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1436.7 | 1466.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -53.8 | -24.7 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Aparecidense U20 last-5 Elo change: -53.8; Anapolis U20 last-5 Elo change: -24.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aparecidense U20 | Anapolis U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 27% |
| Attack | 7% | 20% |
| Defense | 13% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aparecidense U20 | Anapolis U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 33% | 20% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 67% | 80% | 75% | 25% | 75% | 50% |
Aparecidense U20WWLLLLLL
Anapolis U20WLWDLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Aparecidense U20 | Anapolis U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 13 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aparecidense U20 | Anapolis U20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 88% | 75% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 63% | 25% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 25% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aparecidense U20 | Anapolis U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aparecidense U20 | Anapolis U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aparecidense U20 | Anapolis U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aparecidense U20 | Anapolis U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 31.7% | 68.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
