Pro League A — Uzbekistan
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Respublika FA

—

Kattaqurgon

Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.55) 2.57 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.4% 12.9% 77.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.1%
0 - 3
12.9%
0 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Kattaqurgon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Respublika FA 0 4.6% 11.7% 15.1% 12.9% 8.3% 4.3%
1 2.4% 6.1% 7.8% 6.7% 4.3% 2.2%
2 0.6% 1.6% 2.0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Respublika FA carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 21 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Respublika FA -5.5, Kattaqurgon +8.3.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Respublika FA Elo 1494.4 · -5.5
vs
Kattaqurgon Elo 1508.4 · +8.3
Elo gapRespublika FA +21
Home / draw / away38% / 28% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo3002.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3002.8
Elo home share 53%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Respublika FA Kattaqurgon
Overall Elo1494.41508.4
Form Elo1488.71517.8
Home / Away Elo1506.11517
Attack Elo14931492.1
Defense Elo1506.41519
Last 5 Elo change-5.5+8.3

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Respublika FA last-5 Elo change: -5.5; Kattaqurgon last-5 Elo change: +8.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRespublika FAKattaqurgon
Played44
Form33%58%
Attack27%33%
Defense67%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 15 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.33 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Respublika FA Kattaqurgon
HATHAT
Played134224
Wins100%0%25%0%100%50%
Draws0%33%25%50%0%25%
Loses0%67%50%50%0%25%
Respublika FALDWL
KattaqurgonWLWD

League goals

Metric Respublika FA Kattaqurgon
HATHAT
GF total134145
GF avg1.01.01.00.52.01.3
GA total055303
GA avg0.01.71.31.50.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRespublika FAKattaqurgon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%75%50%
1.50%50%50%25%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRespublika FAKattaqurgon
HATHAT
Clean sheets101022
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricRespublika FAKattaqurgon
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRespublika FAKattaqurgon
Wins11
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0——0-2
Biggest losses—2-10-2—
Goals For1112
Goals Against0220

Model comparison

MetricRespublika FAKattaqurgon
Form36%64%
Att44%56%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.3%61.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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