Bundesliga
— Austria
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Merkur-Arena
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.45)
1.42 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.1% | 26.5% | 44.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Austria Vienna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sturm Graz | 0 | 8.0% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 42% | 42% |
| Defense | 75% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 36% | 64% | 50% | 36% | 50% | 43% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 21% | 7% | 14% |
| Loses | 36% | 21% | 29% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
Sturm GrazWLWWLWWWWLLDLWLWLWLWDWWDWDDD
Austria ViennaDLLLWWWWLWLLWWDLWWWLDWLWLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 29 | 43 | 18 | 23 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 24 | 22 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 61% | 86% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 32% | 43% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 18% | 18% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 8 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 8 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-5 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 2-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 79% | 21% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Pinnacle
Away3.42 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.91 @ 888Sport
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ 888Sport
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League standings
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