Bundesliga
— Austria
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Tivoli Stadion Tirol
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.45)
1.54 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | 22.9% | 33.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ried | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| WSG Wattens | 0 | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: WSG Wattens -22.8, Ried +7.9.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
WSG Wattens
vs
Ried
Elo gapRied +6
Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo3077.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3077.5
Elo home share
49%
Match tone
Must Watch
| Metric | WSG Wattens | Ried |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1518.2 | 1559.3 |
| Form Elo | 1513.4 | 1559.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1488.5 | 1514.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1550.3 | 1596.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1474.3 | 1555.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -22.8 | +7.9 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. WSG Wattens last-5 Elo change: -22.8; Ried last-5 Elo change: +7.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | WSG Wattens | Ried |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 43% | 57% |
| Defense | 7% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | WSG Wattens | Ried | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 43% | 21% | 32% | 50% | 29% | 39% |
| Draws | 29% | 36% | 32% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
| Loses | 29% | 43% | 36% | 29% | 50% | 39% |
WSG WattensWWDDLDLLLWDDWDWLLLWDWWLLWLDD
RiedDLLWWLLDWWLLWLWWWLDDLLWLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | WSG Wattens | Ried | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 14 | 38 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 22 | 23 | 45 | 17 | 21 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | WSG Wattens | Ried | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 79% | 71% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 46% | 46% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 18% | 11% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 11% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | WSG Wattens | Ried | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | WSG Wattens | Ried |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | WSG Wattens | Ried |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | WSG Wattens | Ried |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 38.2% | 61.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.95 @ 10Bet
Draw3.35 @ Dafabet
Away2.47 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.12 @ SBO
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…