GFA League
— Gambia
Thu, Apr 30 2026 • 16:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 0.91)
1.53 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.0% | 19.8% | 24.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 1
7.6%
3 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Hart Acedemy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bombada | 0 | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Bombada carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 104 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bombada +18.0, Hart Acedemy -33.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Bombada
vs
Hart Acedemy
Elo gapBombada +104
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo3030.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3030.7
Elo home share
65%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Bombada | Hart Acedemy |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1550 | 1480.7 |
| Form Elo | 1554.5 | 1464.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1539.4 | 1497.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1473.8 | 1451.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1589 | 1557.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +18.0 | -33.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Bombada last-5 Elo change: +18.0; Hart Acedemy last-5 Elo change: -33.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bombada | Hart Acedemy |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 75% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bombada | Hart Acedemy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 50% | 27% | 38% | 36% | 30% | 33% |
| Draws | 40% | 45% | 43% | 36% | 40% | 38% |
| Loses | 10% | 27% | 19% | 27% | 30% | 29% |
BombadaDDWWDLWDDWLWDLWLDDWWD
Hart AcedemyWDDDDWLDLWWWWLDDLLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Bombada | Hart Acedemy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 10 | 25 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bombada | Hart Acedemy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 62% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 24% | 33% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 5% | 14% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bombada | Hart Acedemy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bombada | Hart Acedemy |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bombada | Hart Acedemy |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bombada | Hart Acedemy |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 64.8% | 35.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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