Liga E Pare
— Kosovo
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.39)
1.53 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.5% | 25.6% | 48.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
11.8%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Vushtrria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Istogu | 0 | 7.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Vushtrria carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 77 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Istogu +28.7, Vushtrria -1.2.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Istogu
vs
Vushtrria
Elo gapVushtrria +77
Home / draw / away31% / 21% / 48%
Expected home share39%
Combined Elo3040.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3040.2
Elo home share
39%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Istogu | Vushtrria |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1464.1 | 1576.1 |
| Form Elo | 1473.7 | 1583.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1489.7 | 1509.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1525.9 | 1507.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1468.1 | 1613.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +28.7 | -1.2 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Istogu last-5 Elo change: +28.7; Vushtrria last-5 Elo change: -1.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Istogu | Vushtrria |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 64% |
| Defense | 36% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Istogu | Vushtrria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 13% | 24% | 73% | 43% | 59% |
| Draws | 36% | 33% | 34% | 27% | 36% | 31% |
| Loses | 29% | 53% | 41% | 0% | 21% | 10% |
IstoguLDDWDWLDLDDWLLLLWLLLLDWLDDWWD
VushtrriaDWWDWDLWWDWWWWWLWWDWLWWWDWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Istogu | Vushtrria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 14 | 37 | 32 | 20 | 52 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 15 | 28 | 43 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Istogu | Vushtrria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 79% | 90% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 41% | 52% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 24% | 31% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 3% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Istogu | Vushtrria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Istogu | Vushtrria |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Istogu | Vushtrria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Istogu | Vushtrria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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