Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.56 (league 1.39)
1.11 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.0% | 16.9% | 14.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
8.3%
3 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Suhareka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Trepça'89 | 0 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Trepça'89 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 169 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Trepça'89 +15.3, Suhareka -6.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Trepça'89
vs
Suhareka
Elo gapTrepça'89 +169
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo2984.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2984.9
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Trepça'89 | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1559.3 | 1425.6 |
| Form Elo | 1560.8 | 1416.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1523.3 | 1475.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1556.5 | 1493.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1532.8 | 1375.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +15.3 | -6.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Trepça'89 last-5 Elo change: +15.3; Suhareka last-5 Elo change: -6.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Trepça'89 | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 73% | 73% |
| Defense | 55% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Trepça'89 | Suhareka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 71% | 33% | 52% | 40% | 36% | 38% |
| Draws | 14% | 53% | 34% | 27% | 7% | 17% |
| Loses | 14% | 13% | 14% | 33% | 57% | 45% |
Trepça'89DWDLDWDWWDWWDWLWWWWWWLLDDWDWD
SuharekaWLLLWLWWDDWWDLLLWLDLDLLWWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Trepça'89 | Suhareka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 23 | 53 | 24 | 20 | 44 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 21 | 24 | 45 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Trepça'89 | Suhareka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 62% | 69% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 24% | 48% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 7% | 21% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Trepça'89 | Suhareka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Trepça'89 | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Trepça'89 | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Trepça'89 | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 46.7% | 53.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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