Liga E Pare
— Kosovo
Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.39)
0.70 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8% | 16.7% | 9.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.2%
1 - 0
11.4%
3 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Suhareka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dinamo Ferizaj | 0 | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Dinamo Ferizaj carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 184 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dinamo Ferizaj +15.2, Suhareka -6.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Dinamo Ferizaj
vs
Suhareka
Elo gapDinamo Ferizaj +184
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share74%
Combined Elo3000
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3000
Elo home share
74%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Dinamo Ferizaj | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1574.4 | 1425.6 |
| Form Elo | 1586.9 | 1416.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1540.7 | 1475.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1568 | 1493.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1568.6 | 1375.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +15.2 | -6.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Dinamo Ferizaj last-5 Elo change: +15.2; Suhareka last-5 Elo change: -6.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dinamo Ferizaj | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 73% |
| Defense | 45% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dinamo Ferizaj | Suhareka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 80% | 50% | 66% | 40% | 36% | 38% |
| Draws | 20% | 14% | 17% | 27% | 7% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 36% | 17% | 33% | 57% | 45% |
Dinamo FerizajDWWDDWWLDLWWWWWWLWWDWLWWWWWLW
SuharekaWLLLWLWWDDWWDLLLWLDLDLLWWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Dinamo Ferizaj | Suhareka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 23 | 52 | 24 | 20 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 7 | 20 | 27 | 21 | 24 | 45 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dinamo Ferizaj | Suhareka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 59% | 69% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 62% | 28% | 48% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 7% | 21% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dinamo Ferizaj | Suhareka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dinamo Ferizaj | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dinamo Ferizaj | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dinamo Ferizaj | Suhareka |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 61.5% | 38.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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