Liga E Pare
— Kosovo
Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.59 (league 1.39)
0.45 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.5% | 12.2% | 4.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.1%
3 - 0
13.9%
1 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Istogu | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Feronikeli | 0 | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.9% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Feronikeli carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 88 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Feronikeli +21.4, Istogu +28.7.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Feronikeli
vs
Istogu
Elo gapFeronikeli +88
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2981.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2981.2
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Feronikeli | Istogu |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1517.1 | 1464.1 |
| Form Elo | 1535.9 | 1473.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1519.7 | 1484 |
| Attack Elo | 1485.7 | 1525.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1529.3 | 1468.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +21.4 | +28.7 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Feronikeli last-5 Elo change: +21.4; Istogu last-5 Elo change: +28.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Feronikeli | Istogu |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 60% |
| Attack | 82% | 100% |
| Defense | 64% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Feronikeli | Istogu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 80% | 36% | 59% | 36% | 13% | 24% |
| Draws | 20% | 36% | 28% | 36% | 33% | 34% |
| Loses | 0% | 29% | 14% | 29% | 53% | 41% |
FeronikeliLWWWDWDWWWLLWWWDWWLWDWDDWWWDD
IstoguLDDWDWLDLDDWLLLLWLLLLDWLDDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Feronikeli | Istogu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 17 | 45 | 23 | 14 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 14 | 21 | 15 | 28 | 43 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Feronikeli | Istogu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 45% | 69% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 17% | 28% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 7% | 14% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Feronikeli | Istogu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 7 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Feronikeli | Istogu |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Feronikeli | Istogu |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 6-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-2 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Feronikeli | Istogu |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 66.2% | 33.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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