Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.33)
1.99 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.7% | 21.7% | 50.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Trepça Mitrovicë | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KEK-u | 0 | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
KEK-u carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 36 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: KEK-u -25.2, Trepça Mitrovicë -27.2.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
KEK-u
vs
Trepça Mitrovicë
Elo gapKEK-u +36
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo2827.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2827.8
Elo home share
55%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | KEK-u | Trepça Mitrovicë |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1414.5 | 1413.3 |
| Form Elo | 1395.7 | 1383.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1468.3 | 1484.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1371.7 | 1450 |
| Defense Elo | 1452.1 | 1412.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -25.2 | -27.2 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. KEK-u last-5 Elo change: -25.2; Trepça Mitrovicë last-5 Elo change: -27.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | KEK-u | Trepça Mitrovicë |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 0% |
| Attack | 16% | 32% |
| Defense | 32% | 21% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | KEK-u | Trepça Mitrovicë | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 27% | 0% | 13% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Draws | 33% | 27% | 30% | 27% | 20% | 23% |
| Loses | 40% | 73% | 57% | 47% | 53% | 50% |
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Trepça MitrovicëWWDDLWWLDLDWWDLDLWWLLLDLLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | KEK-u | Trepça Mitrovicë | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 5 | 20 | 25 | 21 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 21 | 32 | 53 | 27 | 27 | 54 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | KEK-u | Trepça Mitrovicë | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 87% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 47% | 40% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 23% | 27% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | KEK-u | Trepça Mitrovicë | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | KEK-u | Trepça Mitrovicë |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | KEK-u | Trepça Mitrovicë |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 7-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 6-0 | 2-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | KEK-u | Trepça Mitrovicë |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 51.5% | 48.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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