Liga E Pare
— Kosovo
Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.39)
0.65 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.8% | 30.9% | 20.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
0 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Kika | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rilindja 1974 | 0 | 16.0% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Rilindja 1974 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 41 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Rilindja 1974 +24.8, Kika -27.3.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Rilindja 1974
vs
Kika
Elo gapRilindja 1974 +41
Home / draw / away42% / 25% / 33%
Expected home share56%
Combined Elo2908.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2908.9
Elo home share
56%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Rilindja 1974 | Kika |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1457.4 | 1451.5 |
| Form Elo | 1460.7 | 1446.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1505.2 | 1471.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1406.1 | 1407.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1493.7 | 1499.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +24.8 | -27.3 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Rilindja 1974 last-5 Elo change: +24.8; Kika last-5 Elo change: -27.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rilindja 1974 | Kika |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 36% | 18% |
| Defense | 82% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rilindja 1974 | Kika | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 33% | 14% | 24% | 50% | 13% | 31% |
| Draws | 33% | 14% | 24% | 14% | 27% | 21% |
| Loses | 33% | 71% | 52% | 36% | 60% | 48% |
Rilindja 1974LLWLLLWDLWDLWLWLLLLLDLDLDDWWD
KikaWLLWDDLLWDLLLWLWDLDLWDWWWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Rilindja 1974 | Kika | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 9 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 20 | 26 | 46 | 15 | 22 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rilindja 1974 | Kika | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 79% | 55% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 52% | 28% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 21% | 3% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rilindja 1974 | Kika | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rilindja 1974 | Kika |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rilindja 1974 | Kika |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rilindja 1974 | Kika |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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