Liga E Pare — Kosovo
Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.39) 1.29 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.8% 28.6% 46.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ramiz Sadiku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vjosa 0 11.6% 15.0% 9.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.0% 12.9% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.3% 5.6% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Vjosa -29.9, Ramiz Sadiku -36.3.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Vjosa Elo 1473.3 · -29.9
vs
Ramiz Sadiku Elo 1505.8 · -36.3
Elo gapVjosa +3
Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%
Expected home share50%
Combined Elo2979.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2979.1
Elo home share 50%
Match tone Strong Watch
Metric Vjosa Ramiz Sadiku
Overall Elo1473.31505.8
Form Elo14701492.6
Home / Away Elo1506.11510.9
Attack Elo1455.91468.6
Defense Elo1473.71572.9
Last 5 Elo change-29.9-36.3

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Vjosa last-5 Elo change: -29.9; Ramiz Sadiku last-5 Elo change: -36.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVjosaRamiz Sadiku
Played55
Form20%0%
Attack55%18%
Defense0%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vjosa Ramiz Sadiku
HATHAT
Played151429141529
Wins33%14%24%57%27%41%
Draws40%14%28%14%40%28%
Loses27%71%48%29%33%31%
VjosaLLLDLLWLLDDWLLLDDWLWLWWWDLDLD
Ramiz SadikuWDWDDLDWDWDLWWWWLDWWWWLDLLLLL

League goals

Metric Vjosa Ramiz Sadiku
HATHAT
GF total221032181533
GF avg1.50.71.11.31.01.1
GA total193453111223
GA avg1.32.41.80.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVjosaRamiz Sadiku
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%76%66%62%
1.528%48%34%17%
2.510%34%14%0%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVjosaRamiz Sadiku
HATHAT
Clean sheets3475611
Failed to score3584610

Penalties

MetricVjosaRamiz Sadiku
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVjosaRamiz Sadiku
Wins34
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-00-3
Biggest losses0-37-01-22-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3722

Model comparison

MetricVjosaRamiz Sadiku
Form100%0%
Att75%25%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total51.7%48.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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