Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 11:45 • Etihad Stadium
First Half
Expected Goals
3.41 (league 1.76) 1.03 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.7% 10.7% 7.4%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.0%
3 - 0
7.8%
2 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.8% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.6% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.5% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester CityLiverpool
Played33
Form100%100%
Attack100%71%
Defense86%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 510 | 3.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.72 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

8.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

9.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City Liverpool
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Manchester City: WWW • Liverpool: WWW

League goals

Metric Manchester City Liverpool
HATHAT
GF total123157310
GF avg6.03.05.03.53.03.3
GA total112112
GA avg0.51.00.70.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester CityLiverpool
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%67%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.567%0%100%0%
3.533%0%33%0%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester CityLiverpool
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricManchester CityLiverpool
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricManchester CityLiverpool
Wins33
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins10-11-34-11-3
Biggest losses
Goals For10343
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricManchester CityLiverpool
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Manchester City and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ 1xBet
Draw4.25 @ 188Bet
Away4.28 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ 188Bet
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City = 3.41 (league 1.76), Liverpool = 1.03 (league 1.45)

Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.8% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.6% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.5% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.7% · Draw 10.7% · Away win 7.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1