Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 19:00 •
St. Mary's Stadium
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.80)
2.05 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.9% | 21.0% | 57.2% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.7%
0 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Arsenal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton | 0 | 4.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Southampton | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 43% | 71% |
| Defense | 79% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 10 | 3.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Southampton | Arsenal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
SouthamptonWWW
ArsenalWWW
League goals
| Metric | Southampton | Arsenal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Southampton | Arsenal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Southampton | Arsenal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Southampton | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Southampton | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Southampton | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home8.00 @ Unibet
Draw5.05 @ Pinnacle
Away1.46 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.43 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…