Alagoano - 2 — Brazil
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Sao Domingos AL

—

Aliança AL

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.82) 2.56 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.4% 8.3% 86.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
24.1%
0 - 3
20.6%
0 - 1
18.8%
Score & goals probability table
Aliança AL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sao Domingos AL 0 9.5% 21.9% 25.2% 19.3% 11.1% 5.1%
1 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Sao Domingos AL carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 57 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sao Domingos AL -29.3, Aliança AL -9.3.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Sao Domingos AL Elo 1470.7 · -29.3
vs
Aliança AL Elo 1449.1 · -9.3
Elo gapSao Domingos AL +57
Home / draw / away44% / 24% / 32%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo2919.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2919.8
Elo home share 58%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Sao Domingos AL Aliança AL
Overall Elo1470.71449.1
Form Elo1425.21432.3
Home / Away Elo1498.81467.1
Attack Elo1458.61469.5
Defense Elo1467.11467.5
Last 5 Elo change-29.3-9.3

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Sao Domingos AL last-5 Elo change: -29.3; Aliança AL last-5 Elo change: -9.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSao Domingos ALAliança AL
Played33
Form11%11%
Attack0%17%
Defense61%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 2.39 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sao Domingos AL Aliança AL
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%33%50%0%33%
Loses0%100%67%50%100%67%
Sao Domingos ALLDL
Aliança ALLDL

League goals

Metric Sao Domingos AL Aliança AL
HATHAT
GF total000213
GF avg0.00.00.01.01.01.0
GA total077729
GA avg0.03.52.33.52.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSao Domingos ALAliança AL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%67%100%100%
1.50%67%0%67%
2.50%67%0%33%
3.50%33%0%33%
4.50%0%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSao Domingos ALAliança AL
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricSao Domingos ALAliança AL
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSao Domingos ALAliança AL
Wins00
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses—4-01-62-1
Goals For0011
Goals Against0462

Model comparison

MetricSao Domingos ALAliança AL
Form50%50%
Att0%100%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total46.3%53.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Sao Domingos AL vs Aliança AL