Alagoano - 2 — Brazil
Sat, May 2 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Sete de Setembro

—

Sao Domingos AL

Expected Goals
7.76 (league 1.80) 0.50 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.1% 0.3% 0.1%
best score tips
5 - 0
6.1%
4 - 0
3.9%
5 - 1
3.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sao Domingos AL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sete de Setembro 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Sete de Setembro carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 84 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sete de Setembro +0.9, Sao Domingos AL -47.7.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Sete de Setembro Elo 1500.9 · +0.9
vs
Sao Domingos AL Elo 1452.3 · -47.7
Elo gapSete de Setembro +84
Home / draw / away49% / 20% / 31%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2953.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2953.2
Elo home share 62%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Sete de Setembro Sao Domingos AL
Overall Elo1500.91452.3
Form Elo1496.21395.1
Home / Away Elo1506.91484.1
Attack Elo1513.31464.3
Defense Elo1506.51414.4
Last 5 Elo change+0.9-47.7

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Sete de Setembro last-5 Elo change: +0.9; Sao Domingos AL last-5 Elo change: -47.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSete de SetembroSao Domingos AL
Played44
Form75%8%
Attack52%10%
Defense86%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.82 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.813 | 3.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sete de Setembro Sao Domingos AL
HATHAT
Played134224
Wins100%67%75%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses0%33%25%50%100%75%
Sete de SetembroWWWL
Sao Domingos ALLDLL

League goals

Metric Sete de Setembro Sao Domingos AL
HATHAT
GF total4711202
GF avg4.02.32.81.00.00.5
GA total1236713
GA avg1.00.70.83.03.53.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSete de SetembroSao Domingos AL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%25%75%
1.550%0%25%75%
2.550%0%0%75%
3.550%0%0%50%
4.525%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSete de SetembroSao Domingos AL
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricSete de SetembroSao Domingos AL
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSete de SetembroSao Domingos AL
Wins30
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-6——
Biggest losses—1-02-64-0
Goals For4620
Goals Against1164

Model comparison

MetricSete de SetembroSao Domingos AL
Form90%10%
Att85%15%
Def81%19%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total85.3%14.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Sete de Setembro vs Sao Domingos AL