Liga I — Romania
Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 18:30 • Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.35) 0.80 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.5% 22.9% 16.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Arges Pitesti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universitatea Craiova 0 7.6% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.5% 10.8% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.1% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaArges Pitesti
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack80%60%
Defense70%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Universitatea Craiova Arges Pitesti
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins73%40%57%53%47%50%
Draws20%40%30%20%13%17%
Loses7%20%13%27%40%33%

Form: Universitatea Craiova: DWWWWWWDWLDLWDDLWDDWWWWLWDWWWD • Arges Pitesti: LLWWLWWWDWWLDDWLLWWDLWWLLWLWWD

League goals

Metric Universitatea Craiova Arges Pitesti
HATHAT
GF total302353181937
GF avg2.01.51.81.21.31.2
GA total111627101828
GA avg0.71.10.90.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniversitatea CraiovaArges Pitesti
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%60%77%50%
1.557%20%33%30%
2.523%7%13%13%
3.57%3%0%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaArges Pitesti
HATHAT
Clean sheets75127815
Failed to score044527

Penalties

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaArges Pitesti
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaArges Pitesti
Wins63
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-43-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-10-23-1
Goals For5433
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaArges Pitesti
Form52%48%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h80%20%
Goals61%39%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Universitatea Craiova or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Bet365
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away8.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ Pinnacle
No1.57 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Universitatea Craiova = 1.77 (league 1.35), Arges Pitesti = 0.80 (league 1.13)

Arges Pitesti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universitatea Craiova 0 7.6% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.5% 10.8% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.1% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.5% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 16.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1