Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.42 (league 1.55)
0.51 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1% | 14.3% | 5.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.7%
1 - 0
13.0%
3 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Bashkimi Kumanovo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shkendija | 0 | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.7% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.7% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Shkendija carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 191 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Shkendija +15.5, Bashkimi Kumanovo -22.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Shkendija
vs
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Elo gapShkendija +191
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share75%
Combined Elo3178.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3178.3
Elo home share
75%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Shkendija | Bashkimi Kumanovo |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1667 | 1511.3 |
| Form Elo | 1685.8 | 1489.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1586.2 | 1531.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1729.2 | 1507.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1631.5 | 1505.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +15.5 | -22.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Shkendija last-5 Elo change: +15.5; Bashkimi Kumanovo last-5 Elo change: -22.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Shkendija | Bashkimi Kumanovo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 33% |
| Attack | 88% | 29% |
| Defense | 82% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Shkendija | Bashkimi Kumanovo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| Wins | 71% | 79% | 75% | 40% | 31% | 36% |
| Draws | 14% | 14% | 14% | 27% | 23% | 25% |
| Loses | 14% | 7% | 11% | 33% | 46% | 39% |
ShkendijaWWDWDWWWDLWWWLWWWWWWWDWWLWWW
Bashkimi KumanovoDWWLLWWDDWDLWLLLDWLLWWLWDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Shkendija | Bashkimi Kumanovo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 28 | 59 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Shkendija | Bashkimi Kumanovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 57% | 64% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 14% | 39% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 4% | 11% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 0% | 4% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Shkendija | Bashkimi Kumanovo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Shkendija | Bashkimi Kumanovo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Shkendija | Bashkimi Kumanovo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Shkendija | Bashkimi Kumanovo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 76.0% | 24.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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