Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 00:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
3.27 (league 1.16)
2.12 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.6% | 15.7% | 21.5% |
best score tips
3 - 2
6.0%
3 - 1
5.6%
2 - 2
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Sertãozinho | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferroviária | 0 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ferroviária | Sertãozinho |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 86% | 100% |
| Defense | 29% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ferroviária | Sertãozinho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 63% | 38% | 50% | 25% | 63% | 44% |
| Draws | 13% | 38% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 38% | 31% |
FerroviáriaDWDWWWWLLWDWLWDL
SertãozinhoDWDDLWDWLWLWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Ferroviária | Sertãozinho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 8 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ferroviária | Sertãozinho | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 69% | 75% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 19% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 6% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ferroviária | Sertãozinho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ferroviária | Sertãozinho |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ferroviária | Sertãozinho |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ferroviária | Sertãozinho |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 53.4% | 46.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away7.00 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.28 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Unibet
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League standings
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