Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 00:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.29)
1.77 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.4% | 21.4% | 34.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Leo Victor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Inter Moengotapoe | 0 | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Inter Moengotapoe carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 116 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Inter Moengotapoe +32.4, Leo Victor +41.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Inter Moengotapoe
vs
Leo Victor
Elo gapInter Moengotapoe +116
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo3097.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3097.4
Elo home share
66%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Inter Moengotapoe | Leo Victor |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1589.2 | 1508.2 |
| Form Elo | 1617.1 | 1523.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1526.1 | 1514 |
| Attack Elo | 1630.3 | 1526.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1526.9 | 1465.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +32.4 | +41.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Inter Moengotapoe last-5 Elo change: +32.4; Leo Victor last-5 Elo change: +41.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Inter Moengotapoe | Leo Victor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 54% |
| Defense | 54% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Inter Moengotapoe | Leo Victor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 13 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 50% | 54% | 52% | 64% | 70% | 67% |
| Draws | 25% | 31% | 29% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| Loses | 25% | 15% | 19% | 27% | 20% | 24% |
Inter MoengotapoeDDWWDLWLWWDWDLWLWDWWW
Leo VictorWLWWLWWWLLWDWWWWLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Inter Moengotapoe | Leo Victor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 31 | 45 | 19 | 22 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 9 | 20 | 29 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Inter Moengotapoe | Leo Victor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 76% | 86% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 38% | 67% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 24% | 38% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Inter Moengotapoe | Leo Victor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Inter Moengotapoe | Leo Victor |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Inter Moengotapoe | Leo Victor |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Inter Moengotapoe | Leo Victor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 54.7% | 45.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.27 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.65 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.51 @ Marathonbet
No2.29 @ Marathonbet
📊
League standings
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