Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 21:00 •
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.15)
2.63 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | 12.9% | 76.2% |
best score tips
0 - 2
14.1%
0 - 3
12.4%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Maldonado | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cerro Largo | 0 | 4.1% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 67% |
| Attack | 36% | 55% |
| Defense | 36% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Deportivo Maldonado | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 33% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Cerro LargoWLLLLW
Deportivo MaldonadoWWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Deportivo Maldonado | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cerro Largo | Deportivo Maldonado | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 83% | 83% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 33% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Deportivo Maldonado | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 2-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 23% | 77% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 39.8% | 60.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.14 @ Pinnacle
Away2.25 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
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League standings
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