Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 19:00 • Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.14) 1.22 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.6% 30.7% 55.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.1%
0 - 0
19.0%
0 - 2
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Danubio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wanderers 0 19.0% 23.1% 14.0% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4%
1 8.5% 10.3% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWanderersDanubio
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack21%64%
Defense50%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wanderers Danubio
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%67%33%67%33%50%
Draws67%0%33%33%33%33%
Loses33%33%33%0%33%17%
WanderersDWLWDL
DanubioWWLDDW

League goals

Metric Wanderers Danubio
HATHAT
GF total1348210
GF avg0.31.00.72.70.71.7
GA total538358
GA avg1.71.01.31.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWanderersDanubio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%83%67%
1.517%33%50%33%
2.50%17%17%17%
3.50%17%17%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWanderersDanubio
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricWanderersDanubio
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricWanderersDanubio
Wins12
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-24-10-1
Biggest losses0-42-0—4-0
Goals For1241
Goals Against4224

Model comparison

MetricWanderersDanubio
Form47%53%
Att25%75%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total40.2%59.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away2.53 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Unibet
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League standings

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