Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 22:30 •
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Expected Goals
3.49 (league 1.15)
0.31 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.2% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
best score tips
3 - 0
15.9%
4 - 0
13.9%
2 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Cerro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Penarol | 0 | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.9% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.9% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Penarol | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 13% |
| Attack | 43% | 14% |
| Defense | 71% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Penarol | Cerro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
PenarolWLWWDW
CerroLLDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Penarol | Cerro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Penarol | Cerro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Penarol | Cerro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Penarol | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Penarol | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Penarol | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 81% | 19% |
| Total | 76.6% | 23.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.42 @ Unibet
Draw4.48 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 888Sport
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.79 @ Marathonbet
No1.49 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…