Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 19:00 • Parque Abraham Paladino
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.12) 1.09 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.7% 30.5% 38.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Boston River
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progreso 0 13.2% 14.4% 7.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 13.5% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProgresoBoston River
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack45%9%
Defense36%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Progreso Boston River
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins0%33%17%0%0%0%
Draws33%33%33%25%50%33%
Loses67%33%50%75%50%67%

Form: Progreso: LLLDDW • Boston River: LLDDLL

League goals

Metric Progreso Boston River
HATHAT
GF total235112
GF avg0.71.00.80.30.50.3
GA total6410437
GA avg2.01.31.71.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProgresoBoston River
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%33%83%
1.533%67%0%33%
2.50%17%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProgresoBoston River
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score213314

Penalties

MetricProgresoBoston River
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricProgresoBoston River
Wins00
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1——
Biggest losses0-32-01-22-0
Goals For2211
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricProgresoBoston River
Form71%29%
Att83%17%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total58.3%41.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Progreso or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away2.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Progreso = 0.93 (league 1.12), Boston River = 1.09 (league 0.92)

Boston River
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progreso 0 13.2% 14.4% 7.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 13.5% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% Ā· Draw 30.5% Ā· Away win 38.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1