Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 19:00 •
Parque Abraham Paladino
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.15)
1.03 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.3% | 31.3% | 37.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Boston River | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progreso | 0 | 14.3% | 14.7% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Progreso | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 13% |
| Attack | 36% | 7% |
| Defense | 50% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Progreso | Boston River | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 67% |
ProgresoLLLDDW
Boston RiverLLDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Progreso | Boston River | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Progreso | Boston River | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 83% | 33% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Progreso | Boston River | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Progreso | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Progreso | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Progreso | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away2.70 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…