Wed, Mar 25 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Luis Troccoli
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.15)
1.33 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.6% | 26.8% | 40.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Juventud | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cerro | 0 | 8.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cerro | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 20% |
| Attack | 25% | 42% |
| Defense | 42% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
4-7
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cerro | Juventud | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 71% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
CerroLLDDLLL
JuventudLDLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Cerro | Juventud | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cerro | Juventud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 100% | 57% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 29% | 29% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 29% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cerro | Juventud | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cerro | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cerro | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cerro | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ 10Bet
Away2.60 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
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League standings
Loading standings…