Thu, Mar 26 2026 • 19:00 •
Jardines Del Hipódromo
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.15)
0.82 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3% | 17.1% | 11.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Defensor Sporting | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Danubio | 0 | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Danubio | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 53% | 20% |
| Defense | 33% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Danubio | Defensor Sporting | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 25% | 43% | 67% | 25% | 43% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 50% | 29% |
DanubioWWLDDWL
Defensor SportingDWWLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Danubio | Defensor Sporting | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Danubio | Defensor Sporting | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 71% | 57% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 43% | 29% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Danubio | Defensor Sporting | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Danubio | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Danubio | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Danubio | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.11 @ Pinnacle
Away3.04 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…