Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 19:00 •
Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.15)
0.46 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2% | 24.0% | 10.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.4%
2 - 0
16.4%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Cerro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wanderers | 0 | 12.9% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.5% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.3% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Wanderers | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 50% | 38% |
| Defense | 38% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-7
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Wanderers | Cerro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 50% | 38% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 40% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 38% | 40% | 100% | 63% |
WanderersDWLWDLWL
CerroLLDDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Wanderers | Cerro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Wanderers | Cerro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 75% | 50% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 38% | 0% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Wanderers | Cerro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Wanderers | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Wanderers | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Wanderers | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.12 @ Unibet
Draw3.09 @ Pinnacle
Away4.00 @ BetVictor
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.29 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…