Mon, Mar 30 2026 • 21:00 •
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.15)
1.07 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.9% | 21.0% | 19.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Danubio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cerro Largo | 0 | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 43% | 57% |
| Defense | 43% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Danubio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 33% | 40% | 38% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Loses | 67% | 60% | 63% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Cerro LargoWLLLLWWL
DanubioWWLDDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Danubio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cerro Largo | Danubio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 88% | 75% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Danubio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.10 @ Superbet
Draw3.10 @ Dafabet
Away2.62 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…