Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 15:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
3.12 (league 1.30)
0.62 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.3% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
best score tips
3 - 0
12.1%
2 - 0
11.6%
4 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Altyn Asyr | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arkadag | 0 | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Arkadag carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 123 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Arkadag +5.3, Altyn Asyr -6.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Arkadag
vs
Altyn Asyr
Elo gapArkadag +123
Home / draw / away55% / 18% / 27%
Expected home share67%
Combined Elo3225.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3225.1
Elo home share
67%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Arkadag | Altyn Asyr |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1656.3 | 1568.8 |
| Form Elo | 1660.2 | 1558.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1562.9 | 1530.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1757.6 | 1647.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1678.1 | 1521 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +5.3 | -6.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Arkadag last-5 Elo change: +5.3; Altyn Asyr last-5 Elo change: -6.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arkadag | Altyn Asyr |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Form | 83% | 47% |
| Attack | 90% | 90% |
| Defense | 90% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arkadag | Altyn Asyr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 67% | 100% | 75% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
ArkadagWWWD
Altyn AsyrDWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Arkadag | Altyn Asyr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arkadag | Altyn Asyr | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 0% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arkadag | Altyn Asyr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arkadag | Altyn Asyr |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arkadag | Altyn Asyr |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arkadag | Altyn Asyr |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 68.2% | 31.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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