Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.58)
5.02 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7% | 2.2% | 58.5% |
best score tips
0 - 5
10.9%
0 - 4
10.9%
0 - 3
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Cessnock City Hornets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| West Wallsend | 0 | 0.4% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
West Wallsend carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 65 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: West Wallsend -21.4, Cessnock City Hornets +1.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
West Wallsend
vs
Cessnock City Hornets
Elo gapWest Wallsend +65
Home / draw / away46% / 23% / 31%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2955.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2955.5
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | West Wallsend | Cessnock City Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1492.8 | 1462.7 |
| Form Elo | 1480.5 | 1458.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1476 | 1486.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1549.1 | 1443.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1394.4 | 1504.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -21.4 | +1.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. West Wallsend last-5 Elo change: -21.4; Cessnock City Hornets last-5 Elo change: +1.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | West Wallsend | Cessnock City Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 37% | 37% |
| Defense | 11% | 84% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | West Wallsend | Cessnock City Hornets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 100% | 33% | 60% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
West WallsendLLLWD
Cessnock City HornetsWWDDL
League goals
| Metric | West Wallsend | Cessnock City Hornets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 5.5 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | West Wallsend | Cessnock City Hornets | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 60% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | West Wallsend | Cessnock City Hornets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | West Wallsend | Cessnock City Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | West Wallsend | Cessnock City Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-9 | 5-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | West Wallsend | Cessnock City Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 15% | 85% |
| Poisson Distribution | 10% | 90% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 63% | 37% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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