Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 05:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.58) 5.02 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.7% 2.2% 58.5%
best score tips
0 - 5
10.9%
0 - 4
10.9%
0 - 3
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cessnock City Hornets
0 1 2 3 4 5
West Wallsend 0 0.4% 2.1% 5.2% 8.7% 10.9% 10.9%
1 0.2% 1.0% 2.5% 4.1% 5.2% 5.2%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

West Wallsend carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 65 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: West Wallsend -21.4, Cessnock City Hornets +1.9.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
West Wallsend Elo 1492.8 · -21.4
vs
Cessnock City Hornets Elo 1462.7 · +1.9
Elo gapWest Wallsend +65
Home / draw / away46% / 23% / 31%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2955.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2955.5
Elo home share 59%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric West Wallsend Cessnock City Hornets
Overall Elo1492.81462.7
Form Elo1480.51458.9
Home / Away Elo14761486.4
Attack Elo1549.11443.4
Defense Elo1394.41504.8
Last 5 Elo change-21.4+1.9

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. West Wallsend last-5 Elo change: -21.4; Cessnock City Hornets last-5 Elo change: +1.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWest WallsendCessnock City Hornets
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack37%37%
Defense11%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)17 | 3.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric West Wallsend Cessnock City Hornets
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%33%50%40%
Draws0%33%20%67%0%40%
Loses100%33%60%0%50%20%
West WallsendLLLWD
Cessnock City HornetsWWDDL

League goals

Metric West Wallsend Cessnock City Hornets
HATHAT
GF total347437
GF avg1.51.31.41.31.51.4
GA total11617213
GA avg5.52.03.40.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWest WallsendCessnock City Hornets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%60%40%
1.540%60%60%20%
2.520%40%20%0%
3.50%40%0%0%
4.50%40%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWest WallsendCessnock City Hornets
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricWest WallsendCessnock City Hornets
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWest WallsendCessnock City Hornets
Wins12
Draws02
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-32-00-3
Biggest losses2-95-1—1-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against9521

Model comparison

MetricWest WallsendCessnock City Hornets
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def15%85%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%37%
Total38.8%61.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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