Tasmania Northern Championship — Australia
Sat, May 2 2026 • 02:15 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Launceston United U21

—

Devonport U21

Expected Goals
0.12 (league 3.40) 3.06 (league 1.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.6% 5.8% 84.5%
best score tips
0 - 3
19.9%
0 - 2
19.5%
0 - 4
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Devonport U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Launceston United U21 0 4.1% 12.7% 19.5% 19.9% 15.2% 9.3%
1 0.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.3% 1.8% 1.1%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

Devonport U21 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 188 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Launceston United U21 -11.3, Devonport U21 +39.0.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Launceston United U21 Elo 1357 · -11.3
vs
Devonport U21 Elo 1579.8 · +39.0
Elo gapDevonport U21 +188
Home / draw / away21% / 18% / 61%
Expected home share25%
Combined Elo2936.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2936.8
Elo home share 25%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Launceston United U21 Devonport U21
Overall Elo13571579.8
Form Elo13481625.4
Home / Away Elo14361527.3
Attack Elo1379.61791.6
Defense Elo1031.61501.1
Last 5 Elo change-11.3+39.0

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Launceston United U21 last-5 Elo change: -11.3; Devonport U21 last-5 Elo change: +39.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLaunceston United U21Devonport U21
Played54
Form13%100%
Attack7%57%
Defense60%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.417 | 4.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Launceston United U21 Devonport U21
HATHAT
Played235224
Wins0%0%0%100%100%100%
Draws100%0%40%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%60%0%0%0%
Launceston United U21LLDDL
Devonport U21WWWW

League goals

Metric Launceston United U21 Devonport U21
HATHAT
GF total02212517
GF avg0.00.70.46.02.54.3
GA total01212325
GA avg0.04.02.41.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLaunceston United U21Devonport U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%100%75%
1.50%60%75%50%
2.50%60%75%0%
3.50%40%50%0%
4.50%20%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLaunceston United U21Devonport U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets202011
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricLaunceston United U21Devonport U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLaunceston United U21Devonport U21
Wins04
Draws20
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——9-12-4
Biggest losses—5-1——
Goals For0194
Goals Against0522

Model comparison

MetricLaunceston United U21Devonport U21
Form14%86%
Att11%89%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h15%85%
Goals18%82%
Total17.4%82.6%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Launceston United U21 vs Devonport U21