Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.32) 3.56 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.3% 11.3% 64.2%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.6%
1 - 4
6.8%
1 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Crateús
0 1 2 3 4 5
Uniclinic Atletico Clube 0 0.8% 2.8% 5.0% 5.9% 5.2% 3.7%
1 1.0% 3.6% 6.4% 7.6% 6.8% 4.8%
2 0.7% 2.3% 4.1% 4.9% 4.4% 3.1%
3 0.3% 1.0% 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 1.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

Crateús carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 56 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Uniclinic Atletico Clube -20.5, Crateús -4.1.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Uniclinic Atletico Clube Elo 1438.1 · -20.5
vs
Crateús Elo 1528.7 · -4.1
Elo gapCrateús +56
Home / draw / away32% / 24% / 44%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo2966.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2966.8
Elo home share 42%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Uniclinic Atletico Clube Crateús
Overall Elo1438.11528.7
Form Elo1420.21524.4
Home / Away Elo1485.61511.2
Attack Elo1421.11492.4
Defense Elo1482.71567.8
Last 5 Elo change-20.5-4.1

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Uniclinic Atletico Clube last-5 Elo change: -20.5; Crateús last-5 Elo change: -4.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniclinic Atletico ClubeCrateús
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack27%64%
Defense36%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Uniclinic Atletico Clube Crateús
HATHAT
Played336325
Wins0%0%0%33%50%40%
Draws67%33%50%33%0%20%
Loses33%67%50%33%50%40%
Uniclinic Atletico ClubeDLDDLL
CrateúsWLDLW

League goals

Metric Uniclinic Atletico Clube Crateús
HATHAT
GF total505347
GF avg1.70.00.81.02.01.4
GA total639123
GA avg2.01.01.50.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniclinic Atletico ClubeCrateús
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%40%60%
1.533%50%40%0%
2.50%17%40%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniclinic Atletico ClubeCrateús
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score033213

Penalties

MetricUniclinic Atletico ClubeCrateús
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUniclinic Atletico ClubeCrateús
Wins01
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-4
Biggest losses2-32-00-11-0
Goals For2034
Goals Against3211

Model comparison

MetricUniclinic Atletico ClubeCrateús
Form22%78%
Att30%70%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total31.4%68.6%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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