Wed, Mar 25 2026 • 20:30 • Edward Seaga Sports Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.35) 0.38 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.3% 38.4% 15.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.0%
1 - 0
24.9%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Chapelton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tivoli Gardens 0 28.0% 10.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.9% 9.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.1% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTivoli GardensChapelton
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack33%56%
Defense56%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tivoli Gardens Chapelton
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins36%20%28%53%21%38%
Draws36%40%38%13%21%17%
Loses29%40%34%33%57%45%

Form: Tivoli Gardens: LDWLDDLWWWLLWDWLLDWDDLDLDWDLD • Chapelton: WWWLDLLLDDLLWWDWWLLLDWWLLLWLW

League goals

Metric Tivoli Gardens Chapelton
HATHAT
GF total14142819524
GF avg1.00.91.01.30.40.8
GA total152338141731
GA avg1.11.51.30.91.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTivoli GardensChapelton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%72%45%59%
1.538%34%28%34%
2.50%14%10%14%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTivoli GardensChapelton
HATHAT
Clean sheets3586612
Failed to score661261016

Penalties

MetricTivoli GardensChapelton
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricTivoli GardensChapelton
Wins33
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-00-33-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricTivoli GardensChapelton
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total56.5%43.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tivoli Gardens or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tivoli Gardens = 0.89 (league 1.35), Chapelton = 0.38 (league 1.15)

Chapelton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tivoli Gardens 0 28.0% 10.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.9% 9.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.1% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.3% · Draw 38.4% · Away win 15.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1