Premier League
— Egypt
Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 17:00 •
30 June Stadium
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.09)
0.79 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.3% | 24.3% | 17.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Ahly | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pyramids FC | 0 | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Pyramids FC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 87 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Pyramids FC -14.4, Al Ahly -1.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Pyramids FC
vs
Al Ahly
Elo gapPyramids FC +87
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo3304.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3304.9
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Pyramids FC | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1678.4 | 1626.5 |
| Form Elo | 1673.7 | 1636.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1586.2 | 1562.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1698.2 | 1632.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1604.7 | 1616.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -14.4 | -1.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Pyramids FC last-5 Elo change: -14.4; Al Ahly last-5 Elo change: -1.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pyramids FC | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 50% | 80% |
| Defense | 60% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pyramids FC | Al Ahly | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 64% | 55% | 59% | 73% | 36% | 55% |
| Draws | 18% | 27% | 23% | 18% | 55% | 36% |
| Loses | 18% | 18% | 18% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
Pyramids FCDWDLWWWWWWWDDLWWWLWWDL
Al AhlyDWDLDWWWWWDDWDWWWDWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Pyramids FC | Al Ahly | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 18 | 34 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pyramids FC | Al Ahly | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 59% | 86% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 18% | 45% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 23% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pyramids FC | Al Ahly | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pyramids FC | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pyramids FC | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pyramids FC | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 49.5% | 50.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Betfair
Away2.62 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.87 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
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