Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 0.89)
0.58 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.0% | 38.1% | 23.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.0%
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Arba Minch Kenema | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sheger Ketema | 0 | 25.0% | 14.4% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.3% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Arba Minch Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 88% | 75% |
| Defense | 50% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Arba Minch Kenema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 17% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Draws | 67% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 42% |
| Loses | 17% | 33% | 25% | 58% | 33% | 46% |
Sheger KetemaLDWDWLDWLLLLDDDDDWDDDDWW
Arba Minch KenemaDDLLDLDLDLLDDDLLLWDDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Arba Minch Kenema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sheger Ketema | Arba Minch Kenema | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 54% | 50% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 25% | 17% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Arba Minch Kenema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Arba Minch Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Arba Minch Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sheger Ketema | Arba Minch Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.85 @ Unibet
Away3.87 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.40 @ William Hill
No1.64 @ Unibet
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League standings
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