Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 2.16) 0.75 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.3% 46.6% 51.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
44.9%
0 - 1
33.7%
0 - 2
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cruzeiro U17
0 1 2 3 4 5
CSA U17 0 44.9% 33.7% 12.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 2.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

CSA U17 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 27 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: CSA U17 +8.7, Cruzeiro U17 +14.2.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
CSA U17 Elo 1508.7 · +8.7
vs
Cruzeiro U17 Elo 1517 · +14.2
Elo gapCSA U17 +27
Home / draw / away39% / 27% / 34%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo3025.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3025.7
Elo home share 54%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric CSA U17 Cruzeiro U17
Overall Elo1508.71517
Form Elo1523.81580.9
Home / Away Elo1506.21501.2
Attack Elo1500.71622.1
Defense Elo1512.51490.4
Last 5 Elo change+8.7+14.2

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. CSA U17 last-5 Elo change: +8.7; Cruzeiro U17 last-5 Elo change: +14.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCSA U17Cruzeiro U17
Played33
Form78%100%
Attack22%61%
Defense94%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.311 | 3.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.30 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CSA U17 Cruzeiro U17
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%100%67%100%100%100%
Draws50%0%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%
CSA U17WDW
Cruzeiro U17WWW

League goals

Metric CSA U17 Cruzeiro U17
HATHAT
GF total3149211
GF avg1.51.01.34.52.03.7
GA total101000
GA avg0.50.00.30.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCSA U17Cruzeiro U17
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%100%0%
1.533%0%100%0%
2.50%0%67%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCSA U17Cruzeiro U17
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCSA U17Cruzeiro U17
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCSA U17Cruzeiro U17
Wins13
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-16-00-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For2162
Goals Against1000

Model comparison

MetricCSA U17Cruzeiro U17
Form44%56%
Att27%73%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total35.5%64.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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