Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 08:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 2.22)
1.70 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.0% | 23.3% | 41.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Trenčín W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Žilina W | 0 | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Trenčín W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 22 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Žilina W -35.7, Trenčín W -37.8.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Žilina W
vs
Trenčín W
Elo gapTrenčín W +22
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo2844.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2844.6
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Žilina W | Trenčín W |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1393.6 | 1451 |
| Form Elo | 1372.9 | 1445.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1477.5 | 1467.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1431.7 | 1473 |
| Defense Elo | 1238.9 | 1368.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -35.7 | -37.8 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Žilina W last-5 Elo change: -35.7; Trenčín W last-5 Elo change: -37.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Žilina W | Trenčín W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 20% |
| Attack | 20% | 20% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 20 | 4 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Žilina W | Trenčín W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 22% | 9% | 15% | 45% | 22% | 35% |
| Draws | 11% | 18% | 15% | 0% | 11% | 5% |
| Loses | 67% | 73% | 70% | 55% | 67% | 60% |
Žilina WLWDLLLDLLLDLWWLLLLLL
Trenčín WLLWLLWDLLLWLWWWLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Žilina W | Trenčín W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 18 | 39 | 57 | 17 | 25 | 42 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Žilina W | Trenčín W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 95% | 70% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 70% | 35% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 45% | 15% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 5% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 5% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Žilina W | Trenčín W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Žilina W | Trenčín W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Žilina W | Trenčín W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 12-1 | 1-4 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 12 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Žilina W | Trenčín W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…