Northern Super League — Canada
Sat, May 2 2026 • 21:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Ottawa Rapid W

—

Calgary Wild W

Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.05) 0.05 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.4% 15.5% 0.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.0%
2 - 0
25.7%
3 - 0
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
Calgary Wild W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ottawa Rapid W 0 14.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Ottawa Rapid W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 88 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ottawa Rapid W -12.6, Calgary Wild W 0.0.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Ottawa Rapid W Elo 1515.1 · -12.6
vs
Calgary Wild W Elo 1462.3 · 0.0
Elo gapOttawa Rapid W +88
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2977.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2977.4
Elo home share 62%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Ottawa Rapid W Calgary Wild W
Overall Elo1515.11462.3
Form Elo1458.41462.3
Home / Away Elo1483.91501.6
Attack Elo1517.71459.9
Defense Elo1528.91451.7
Last 5 Elo change-12.60.0

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Ottawa Rapid W last-5 Elo change: -12.6; Calgary Wild W last-5 Elo change: 0.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOttawa Rapid WCalgary Wild W
Played11
Form0%0%
Attack17%0%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 10 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 32 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ottawa Rapid W Calgary Wild W
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—0%0%0%—0%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—100%100%100%—100%
Ottawa Rapid WL
Calgary Wild WL

League goals

Metric Ottawa Rapid W Calgary Wild W
HATHAT
GF total011000
GF avg0.01.01.00.00.00.0
GA total033202
GA avg0.03.03.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOttawa Rapid WCalgary Wild W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%0%100%
1.50%100%0%100%
2.50%100%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOttawa Rapid WCalgary Wild W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricOttawa Rapid WCalgary Wild W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOttawa Rapid WCalgary Wild W
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses—3-10-2—
Goals For0100
Goals Against0320

Model comparison

MetricOttawa Rapid WCalgary Wild W
Form0%0%
Att100%0%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total61.3%38.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Ottawa Rapid W vs Calgary Wild W