Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 17:00 • AEK Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.49) 1.59 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.8% 23.1% 35.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Apoel Nicosia
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 3.8% 6.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.4% 10.1% 8.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
3 3.0% 4.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack41%47%
Defense76%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEK Larnaca Apoel Nicosia
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins62%62%62%46%54%50%
Draws23%15%19%23%23%23%
Loses15%23%19%31%23%27%

Form: AEK Larnaca: WDLWWLWDWWWDWDWWLWWWWLLDWW • Apoel Nicosia: WLWWWWDDWDLDWDWWLDWLLLWWLW

League goals

Metric AEK Larnaca Apoel Nicosia
HATHAT
GF total272249192645
GF avg2.11.71.91.52.01.7
GA total121022121527
GA avg0.90.80.80.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%65%85%65%
1.558%12%58%35%
2.523%4%19%4%
3.515%4%12%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
HATHAT
Clean sheets549549
Failed to score123314

Penalties

MetricAEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total76

Streaks

MetricAEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
Wins44
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-10-4
Biggest losses2-42-10-22-0
Goals For5444
Goals Against4223

Model comparison

MetricAEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
Form44%56%
Att47%53%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total62.8%37.2%

Advice: Double chance : AEK Larnaca or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.81 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AEK Larnaca = 1.69 (league 1.49), Apoel Nicosia = 1.59 (league 1.13)

Apoel Nicosia
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 3.8% 6.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.4% 10.1% 8.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
3 3.0% 4.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.8% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 35.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1