Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 15:00 •
Football Academy Stadium
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.69)
1.20 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.3% | 25.0% | 29.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Alashkert | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ararat-Armenia | 0 | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 75% | 25% |
| Defense | 58% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 75% | 50% | 61% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 25% | 30% | 28% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 11% | 30% | 38% | 33% |
Form: Ararat-Armenia: DWWWDWDWWWWDWLWLWD • Alashkert: LWWWWWLWDWWLWDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 13 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 72% | 78% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 61% | 28% | 44% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Ararat-Armenia or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ararat-Armenia = 1.56 (league 1.69), Alashkert = 1.20 (league 1.17)
| Alashkert | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ararat-Armenia | 0 | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 29.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1