1. Division — Belarus
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 • Volna Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.62) 0.87 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.1% 41.4% 56.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
39.7%
0 - 1
34.7%
0 - 2
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Slonim
0 1 2 3 4 5
Volna 0 39.7% 34.7% 15.1% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away lean

Volna carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 36 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Slonim +44.7, Volna -26.4.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Slonim Elo 1384 · +44.7
vs
Volna Elo 1455.3 · -26.4
Elo gapVolna +36
Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%
Expected home share45%
Combined Elo2839.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2839.3
Elo home share 45%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Slonim Volna
Overall Elo13841455.3
Form Elo1449.81421.5
Home / Away Elo1426.71511.6
Attack Elo1412.61570.7
Defense Elo1277.91452.4
Last 5 Elo change+44.7-26.4

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Slonim last-5 Elo change: +44.7; Volna last-5 Elo change: -26.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVolnaSlonim
Played33
Form11%78%
Attack7%29%
Defense79%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 10 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

39%
FT probability

2.5+

27%
FT probability

3.5+

19%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Volna Slonim
HATHAT
Played213033
Wins0%0%0%—67%67%
Draws50%0%33%—33%33%
Loses50%100%67%—0%0%
VolnaLLD
SlonimWDW

League goals

Metric Volna Slonim
HATHAT
GF total101044
GF avg0.50.00.30.01.31.3
GA total213000
GA avg1.01.01.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVolnaSlonim
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%67%0%
1.50%0%67%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVolnaSlonim
HATHAT
Clean sheets000033
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricVolnaSlonim
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVolnaSlonim
Wins01
Draws01
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———0-2
Biggest losses0-11-0——
Goals For1002
Goals Against1100

Model comparison

MetricVolnaSlonim
Form13%88%
Att20%80%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h85%15%
Goals72%28%
Total47.5%52.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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