Tue, Apr 7 2026 • 19:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.84) 1.05 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.8% 32.7% 43.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.3%
0 - 0
17.4%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 17.4% 18.3% 9.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.1% 12.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.2% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CPArsenal
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack44%48%
Defense64%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP Arsenal
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins100%20%60%100%80%90%
Draws0%20%10%0%20%10%
Loses0%60%30%0%0%0%

Form: Sporting CP: WLWDWLWWLW • Arsenal: WWWWWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Sporting CP Arsenal
HATHAT
GF total16622141226
GF avg3.21.22.22.82.42.6
GA total31114325
GA avg0.62.21.40.60.40.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CPArsenal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%80%100%40%
1.560%40%90%10%
2.540%20%60%0%
3.520%0%10%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CPArsenal
HATHAT
Clean sheets202336
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricSporting CPArsenal
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSporting CPArsenal
Wins28
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-34-00-3
Biggest losses—3-0——
Goals For5343
Goals Against1321

Model comparison

MetricSporting CPArsenal
Form41%59%
Att48%52%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h25%75%
Goals31%69%
Total35.7%64.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arsenal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away1.85 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.94 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP = 0.70 (league 1.84), Arsenal = 1.05 (league 1.37)

Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 17.4% 18.3% 9.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.1% 12.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.2% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 43.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1