Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 01:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.00)
0.20 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7% | 28.5% | 5.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.1%
0 - 0
22.4%
2 - 0
18.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Batanecos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Firpo | 0 | 22.4% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.1% | 5.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Firpo carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 222 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Firpo +10.7, Batanecos -12.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Firpo
vs
Batanecos
Elo gapFirpo +222
Home / draw / away64% / 18% / 18%
Expected home share78%
Combined Elo3161.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3161.9
Elo home share
78%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Firpo | Batanecos |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1674.5 | 1487.4 |
| Form Elo | 1690.9 | 1457.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1573.8 | 1500 |
| Attack Elo | 1678.7 | 1477 |
| Defense Elo | 1618.1 | 1505 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +10.7 | -12.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Firpo last-5 Elo change: +10.7; Batanecos last-5 Elo change: -12.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Firpo | Batanecos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 33% |
| Attack | 40% | 10% |
| Defense | 90% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
28%
FT probability
2.5+
20%
FT probability
3.5+
14%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Firpo | Batanecos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | — | 67% | 67% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | — | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | — | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
FirpoWDW
BatanecosLWL
League goals
| Metric | Firpo | Batanecos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Firpo | Batanecos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 33% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Firpo | Batanecos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Firpo | Batanecos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Firpo | Batanecos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Firpo | Batanecos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 75.0% | 25.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.06 @ 10Bet
Draw14.00 @ Unibet
Away32.00 @ Marathonbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.60 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.88 @ Marathonbet
No1.45 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…