Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 17:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.40) 0.97 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.4% 24.6% 22.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Brøndby
0 1 2 3 4 5
AGF 0 7.3% 7.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.0% 11.7% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: AGF -7.2, Brøndby +29.9.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
AGF Elo 1497.8 · -7.2
vs
Brøndby Elo 1548.7 · +29.9
Elo gapBrøndby +16
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo3046.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3046.5
Elo home share 48%
Match tone Strong Watch
Metric AGF Brøndby
Overall Elo1497.81548.7
Form Elo1507.41571.4
Home / Away Elo1512.61522
Attack Elo15301493
Defense Elo1492.31595.9
Last 5 Elo change-7.2+29.9

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. AGF last-5 Elo change: -7.2; Brøndby last-5 Elo change: +29.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAGFBrøndby
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack50%44%
Defense56%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AGF Brøndby
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins63%20%39%44%56%50%
Draws13%30%22%56%22%39%
Loses25%50%39%0%22%11%
AGFDDLWLDWLWLWWWWDLLL
BrøndbyDDLWDWWDLWWDWDWDWW

League goals

Metric AGF Brøndby
HATHAT
GF total18624121527
GF avg2.30.61.31.31.71.5
GA total617233912
GA avg0.81.71.30.31.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAGFBrøndby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%67%72%44%
1.528%39%44%17%
2.522%17%28%6%
3.511%6%6%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAGFBrøndby
HATHAT
Clean sheets3366410
Failed to score167325

Penalties

MetricAGFBrøndby
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAGFBrøndby
Wins42
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-34-00-3
Biggest losses1-24-02-0
Goals For6343
Goals Against2413

Model comparison

MetricAGFBrøndby
Form27%73%
Att53%47%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h71%29%
Goals50%50%
Total46.8%53.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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