Kvindeliga
— Denmark
Sat, May 2 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.39)
1.46 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | 26.5% | 60.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.2%
0 - 2
14.8%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| ASA Aarhus W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Midtjylland W | 0 | 13.9% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
ASA Aarhus W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 45 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Midtjylland W -2.1, ASA Aarhus W +13.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Midtjylland W
vs
ASA Aarhus W
Elo gapASA Aarhus W +45
Home / draw / away33% / 25% / 42%
Expected home share44%
Combined Elo2946
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2946
Elo home share
44%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Midtjylland W | ASA Aarhus W |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1433 | 1513 |
| Form Elo | 1417.1 | 1538.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1476 | 1500.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1469.5 | 1514.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1396 | 1514 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -2.1 | +13.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Midtjylland W last-5 Elo change: -2.1; ASA Aarhus W last-5 Elo change: +13.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Midtjylland W | ASA Aarhus W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 43% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 19 | 3.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Midtjylland W | ASA Aarhus W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 40% | 22% | 32% | 50% | 67% | 60% |
| Draws | 10% | 22% | 16% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 56% | 53% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
Midtjylland WLLLLWLLLDLDWLDWWWLW
ASA Aarhus WLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Midtjylland W | ASA Aarhus W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 9 | 33 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 15 | 19 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Midtjylland W | ASA Aarhus W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 74% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 37% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Midtjylland W | ASA Aarhus W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Midtjylland W | ASA Aarhus W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Midtjylland W | ASA Aarhus W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-1 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Midtjylland W | ASA Aarhus W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 49.5% | 50.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…